There might be a glimmer of hope of avoiding another Canada Post strike.
The Canadian Union of Postal Workers is set to meet with the Crown corporation and a mediator ahead of 12:01 a.m. Friday strike deadline, after the two sides traded public potshots earlier Thursday.
A spokesperson for Canada Post said the union had requested the 7 p.m. meeting, confirming a broadcast report citing the union.
Thursday morning, Canada Post said CUPW hadn’t officially responded to a contract offer presented Wednesday, and said customers have already started bailing in anticipation of another work stoppage.
“Canada Post has already seen parcel and mail volumes decline significantly as customers prepare for another labour disruption. We remain hopeful that negotiations can resume,” the Crown corporation said in a written statement. “Further delays or another strike would have a major impact on employees, small businesses and the millions of Canadians who rely on the postal system.”
Late Wednesday evening, CUPW criticized Canada Post’s refusal to accept a two-week truce so the union could take a closer look at Wednesday’s offer, and said the Crown corporation was negotiating in bad faith.
“Reviewing legal wording takes time and careful evaluation. We need to properly assess the offers to ensure they respect the needs of postal workers. The stakes couldn’t be higher,” the union said in an emailed statement.
The union said the Crown corporation made details of its contract offer public even before giving it to CUPW negotiators.
“Today’s action by Canada Post is yet further evidence of its lack of good faith as a bargaining partner,” the union said.
The next step, suggested labour relations professor Larry Savage, could be a rotating strike targeting key facilities or cities, rather than a full, nation-wide walkout. The request for a two-week pause may have been a sign of internal division within the union, Savage said.
“It’s not clear to me that CUPW is sufficiently prepared for another full-scale strike action,” said Savage. “I think the request for a two-week extension was in part to buy the union time to get itself organized to strike effectively. There’s clearly some internal division.”
Public and political patience for a strike is waning after last year’s 32-day walkout, Savage said.
That, he added, could mean the federal government might introduce back-to-work legislation sooner rather than later.
Prime Minister Mark Carney and federal jobs minister Patty Hajdu have incentive to act more quickly than Carney’s predecessor Justin Trudeau, Savage argued.
“I wouldn’t be surprised at all if there’s back-to-work legislation,” said Savage. “I do think the federal government took a hit for allowing the strike to drag on as long as it did. And Carney’s also trying to show he’s different than Trudeau.”
Wednesday’s four-year contract offer includes the creation of new, part-time carrier job categories to help Canada Post extend parcel delivery to weekends, as well as the use of “dynamic routing” at 10 mail-sorting facilities. Dynamic routing means carriers could see their routes shift daily to accommodate changes in volume.
Canada Post said the offer also includes total wage increases of 13 per cent for existing employees, with a six per cent increase in the first year, followed by increases of three, two and two per cent.
The offer came days after veteran mediator William Kaplan delivered the official report from his Industrial Inquiry Commission to the federal government, including Hajdu.
Kaplan’s report said Canada Post was effectively insolvent, and suggested the use of community mailboxes, the elimination of home delivery except for parcels, and getting rid of some post office locations and replacing them with franchises.
Kaplan also suggested expanding parcel delivery to seven days a week, with the use of part-time and temporary employees.
Kaplan’s report also gives the government political justification for back-to-work legislation, and more importantly, for implementing wholesale changes in Canada Post’s operating model, said Savage.
And CUPW, he added, will need to face that reality, even if they agree to a new contract with Canada Post.
“There are much bigger issues on the horizon that CUPW is going to have to deal with. I think Kaplan’s report will give cover to the government to deal with those broader issues,” Savage said.
Meanwhile, other courier companies are also bracing for a spike in demand in the event of a strike.
“FedEx hopes a resolution is reached between Canada Post and the union,” a FedEx spokesperson said in an emailed statement. “Anticipating that the circumstances at Canada Post may trigger an increase in demand for FedEx services, FedEx has a comprehensive contingency plan to manage and maintain the excellent service our customers have come to expect from us every day.”
More to come.