The resumption of counting in last week’s nail-biting British Columbia election has seen the NDP widen its lead in two crucial races and move within 14 votes of the B.C. Conservatives in another.
No leads have changed in nine races that are too close to call, and the update provided by Elections BC increases the prospect of an NDP government.
The Conservatives had been hoping to flip NDP leads in Juan de Fuca-Malahat and Surrey City Centre, the two closest races after the initial count ended last Sunday, but instead the ongoing tally of mail-in votes saw the NDP pull ahead.
The NDP now leads in Juan de Fuca-Malahat by 106 votes, up from 23, while the party’s candidate leads in Surrey City Centre by 162 votes, up from 93.
In Surrey-Guildford, where the B.C. Conservatives had held a 103-vote lead, the NDP has moved within 14 votes with more than 200 left to count.
The initial tally after the Oct. 19 election ended with neither David Eby’s NDP nor John Rustad’s B.C. Conservatives securing the 47 ridings needed to form a majority in the 93-seat legislature.
The NDP is elected or leading in 46 seats and the Conservatives in 45, while the Greens could hold the balance of power after winning two seats.
If the NDP holds onto its current leads in the undecided races, it will be in a position to form a minority government if it secures Green support, but if it also wins a Conservative-led race such as Surrey-Guildford, it would have the narrowest of majorities.
To form a majority, the Conservatives must flip two ridings where the NDP leads, and while a minority Conservative government remains a possibility, the party’s ideological gap with the Greens is wide.
The NDP lead widened in Coquitlam-Burke Mountain, but there was little change to margins in other tight races.
There were more than 43,000 mail-in ballots to be counted in all 93 ridings across the province, in a process expected to be complete Sunday.
The elections authority will also conduct full recounts beginning on Sunday in the ridings of Juan de Fuca-Malahat and Surrey City Centre because their margins after the initial count were under 100.
There will also be a partial hand recount in Kelowna Centre due to a transcription error involving one tabulator used in the riding.
The final tally will then be completed on Monday with the counting of more than 22,000 absentee ballots, with results updated on Election BC’s website hourly that day.
But even after that, judicial recounts could be requested by a candidate if the margin in their riding is less than 1/500th of all votes counted.
The B.C. Conservative candidate in Juan de Fuca-Malahat, meanwhile, is facing criticism from within her own party over reported comments about Indigenous people.
On Friday, the Vancouver Sun published a recording in which a person it identifies as Marina Sapozhnikov calls First Nations people “savages.” The newspaper says the comments came during an election-night conversation with a journalism student.
Peter Milobar, the Conservative candidate in Kelowna Centre, issued a post on the social media platform X saying he was “outraged” and “filled with sadness” over Sapozhnikov’s alleged comments, which he called “reprehensible.”
Sapozhnikov did not immediately respond to an email seeking comment.
Rustad issued a statement of his own Saturday saying he was “appalled and deeply saddened” by the comments.
“Her words are not only inaccurate but profoundly harmful, painting a distorted picture of the communities I have worked alongside for many years,” the statement read.
Rustad said the remarks do not reflect his party’s values.
“We are taking this matter seriously,” he said. “As leader, I am fully committed to ensuring that our party leads with respect and understanding for all British Columbians.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 26, 2024.
Note to readers: This is a corrected story. A previous version said there were more than 66,000 mail-in ballots to be counted from Saturday. In fact, there were more than 43,000, plus more than 22,000 absentee ballots. A previous version also reported the B.C. Conservatives ended the initial count leading in six too-close-to-call races and the NDP in three. In fact, the Conservatives led five and the NDP four.
